Thursday, February 4th 2016, 9:12 pm
After a cold start to the day, temperatures moderated rather nicely; and with all the sunshine and a westerly breeze, it turned out to be a pretty nice day. Notice the max/min temperature map, courtesy of the OK Mesonet. Fair skies and a light southerly breeze for the overnight hours should keep us from being quite so cold to start the day Friday and the afternoon hours will be even warmer with a brisk southerly wind and lots of sunshine as you can see on our forecast page.
A moisture starved system aloft will be passing over the state for the Friday night into the Saturday morning time frame which will produce more cloud cover and help keep temperatures a little milder. There may even be a few sprinkles or a few light snow flurries with this system, but anything that falls will be very light, if anything at all.
That will be followed on Saturday by clearing skies during the day, a NW breeze returning to a more SW direction, and mild afternoon temperatures once again. Another cold front will arrive during the day Sunday but this will be another dry system and the colder air will be somewhat delayed in reaching us. Bottom line is that the coming weekend looks promising with plenty of sunshine and above normal temperatures even though a cold front will be moving through the state on Sunday.
Colder air will be more dominant for the first part of next week, but the real brunt of the coldest air will be further east of us. Notice for example, the temperature map for Tuesday morning of next week which clearly indicates the coldest air moving all the way to the Gulf of Mexico, but we will just receive a glancing blow. Even so, look for temperatures to be running below normal for the Mon-Tue time frame.
After that, a return to southerly winds and lots of sunshine should produce a nice rebound starting on Wednesday and quite possibly extending through the Valentine’s Day weekend as well. Notice for example the 8-14 day outlooks which suggest we will average above normal with respect to temperature and below normal with respect to precipitation. This is a continuation of the more stable pattern that will be the general rule over the next week or so. That is also clearing illustrated by the 7-day QPF map which has us pretty much high and dry for that time frame.
So, enjoy this stable pattern over the next week or two as eventually the storm track and the position of the jet stream will bring more active weather our way. We just do not see that anytime soon.
Dick Faurot
February 4th, 2016
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