Friday, October 23rd 2015, 7:34 pm
As expected, rain was widespread through the overnight hours as you can see from the 24-hour rainfall totals, courtesy of the OK Mesonet. And as also expected, the more southern counties received the heaviest totals but quite frankly was disappointed in the amounts further north. The second map has the 48-hour totals across our state to show how wet this particular system was and again the gradient from N to S is very apparent.
We have another chance of rain for the overnight hours tonight as a cool front will be moving across the state, but this will be a rapidly moving system so amounts will be on the light side. Also, our Saturday looks to be dry except for the far SE counties as the front quickly moves through there during the morning hours. Low-level clouds should be clearing out first thing in the morning but lingering high-level cloud cover together with a brisk N wind behind the front will keep temperatures on the cool side with highs in the 60s as you can see on our forecast page.
Mostly sunny skies and drier air in place will result in a cool start Sunday and Monday mornings with lows generally in the 40s. NE winds Sunday will return to the SE Monday to warm things up a bit, but a stronger cool front still looks to be arriving Tuesday night or early Wednesday. A few showers from this particular system may impact the more eastern counties late Tuesday.
After that, another system will be approaching around the Halloween time frame with another chance of showers/storms and this could be another wet system. However, there are some timing issues regarding the longer range guidance so for now will call for at least a slight chance of rain for that Fri/Sat and those chances may well go up depending on subsequent model runs.
Notice the 6-10 day outlooks which suggest at least the possibility of below normal temperatures for the Halloween weekend and also chances of rainfall.
Also, there has been some concern expressed regarding record-setting E Pac hurricane Patricia currently moving onto the W coast of Mexico. Right now, there is no indication Patricia will have any impact on our sensible weather, but it will be closely watched in case there are any changes in the track of its remnants after moving inland. One impact that is expected is that the residual tropical moisture from Patricia is expected to interact with a non-tropical low pressure system along the Gulf coast with the potential for torrential rains down there as you can see on the 7 day QPF map.
So, stay tuned and check back for updates.
Dick Faurot
October 23rd, 2015
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