Alan Crone's Weather Blog: Increasing Fire Danger

 A weak cold front is moving southward this morning and will bring gusty north winds across the area for most of the day.   The atmosphere is too dry to support any precipitation with the frontal passage.   Drier air will move across the northern OK region later.   Relative humidity will drop into the 25 to 35% range.   These conditions are expected to increase the fire-spread across the area this afternoon.   Please use caution.   No major systems are expected this week but another system will be nearing the state Friday with a very low chance of a few showers across northeastern OK and southern Kansas.  This system will represent a whopping 10% chance on the big board.

Weather Alerts

The upper air flow will be from the northwest to southeast for the rest of the week.   The upper air low located across the Baja this weekend has retrograded into the Pacific.   This low will eventually move eastward back into the desert southwest while weakening as it moves eastward.  A weak disturbance will arrive Friday as the surface front moves southward, but the lack of significant low level moisture will keep any precip to a minimum.

The forecast for the week will mostly be concerned with temperature.   Lows this morning in the mid-60s will move into the lower 80s along with gusty north winds at 15 to 30 mph.  Tuesday morning starts in the upper 40s and will end around 80,   Wednesday begins around 50 and ends at 83.  Thursday south winds return with morning lows in the mid to upper 50s and highs in the mid to upper 80s.   Friday the next front nears the state with lows in the mid to upper 50s and highs in the upper 60s or lower 70s with increasing clouds and a chance for a few showers or storms for the early morning hours.   The weekend will see lows in the upper 40s and lower 50s with highs in the 70s.   

Thanks for reading the abbreviated Monday morning weather discussion and blog.  Have a super great day. 

Alan Crone 

KOTV