Wednesday Morning Update

Wednesday, July 16th 2014, 4:32 am

By: Alan Crone

Temperatures yesterday afternoon were absolutely wonderful with afternoon highs in the upper 70s and lower 80s. We're expecting another very nice afternoon regarding the temps with many locations once again in the upper 70s and lower 80s. The next 36 to 48 hours will feature a strong storm system nearing the area with increasing rain and thunderstorm chances. Some heavy rainfall will be likely across the southern third of the state where some multi-inch rainfall will be likely. The Tulsa metro should see anywhere from .80 to 1. 40 inches of rainfall. Readings Thursday will shatter the previous record low max temps with readings in the upper 60s and lower 70s.

This morning we're tracking some showers and storms across far northwestern OK. A few of these may slide into our area during the day, but the higher storm chances should hold off until Wednesday evening into Thursday for most of the eastern third of the state.

A stationary boundary located across central Texas is expected to slowly move northward as a warm front later this afternoon and evening. Most data support this boundary remaining near the Texoma region for the period through Thursday afternoon and Friday morning. The location of the boundary will be important as severe weather threats will be near and south of the warm frontal location. A surface area of low pressure will be developing across western areas of North TX and should move

east or even southeast Thursday night into Friday. If the surface low tracks more northward, the severe weather threats will be also more northward into the state. As of this hour, we’ll continue to suggest the severe weather threat will mainly be located across far southern OK and north TX.

Model data output continues to suggest the possibility for heavy rainfall during this event. The favored locations will be confined to the south-central and southern sections of the state with lessor amounts northward to near the I-40 corridor. A flash flood watch will be required for portions of these areas for Wednesday night and Thursday. The Tulsa metro will not be included in any flash flood watch.

The system should be exiting the state sometime Friday morning with mild temps remaining. The warmer air returns Saturday into Sunday with a very slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm.

The extended pattern suggests warmer air will return next week with temperatures moving above the seasonal average. We continue to see some signals of a storm complex or two brushing part of the state early next week and we’ll keep the slight mention in the forecast.

The official high in Tulsa yesterday was 79 recorded at 1:59pm.

The normal daily average high is 93 and the low is 73.

Our daily records include a high of 109 from 1980. The daily record low is 57 from 1967.

You'll find me on Facebook and Twitter.

I'll be discussing the weather on numerous Radio Oklahoma News network affiliates across the state through the morning hours.

You'll also hear our forecast on Tulsa metro radio stations, including KMOD, The Twister, The Beat, and The buzz. These stations are part of Clear Channel Communications.

Thanks for reading the Monday Morning weather discussion and blog.

Have a super great and safe day!

Alan Crone

KOTV