Tuesday Morning Update

Tuesday, October 1st 2013, 4:36 am

Good morning.  Temperatures will move into the mid 80s this afternoon along with southeast winds at 15 miles per hour.  A warming trend will continue through the end of the week before a strong cold front arrives Friday evening.  This front will bring a chance of shower and thunderstorm activity to part of the state.  Much cooler air is likely for Saturday and Sunday with morning lows in the 40s and 50s and daytime highs in the upper 60s and the lower 70s.  

 Once again this morning we're seeing the potential for some fog across eastern Oklahoma. Low level moisture in the form of 60 degree dew points are moving north northwest this morning.  A few scattered showers may be possible later today across western Arkansas.  A better chance for eastern OK may occur Wednesday with a few scattered showers and storms near in our area as a week upper level low moves nearby. 

 A powerful upper level system will move out of the Pacific Northwest during the next 24 to 36 hours.  Surface pressures will begin to fall across the central and southern plains, resulting in gusty south winds Wednesday and Thursday.  A surface cold front will arrive across part of northern Oklahoma Friday afternoon or early evening and bring a good chance of shower and thunderstorm activity to the area.  The upper level dynamics with this system will be quite strong and some severe weather will be a possibility but the higher likelihood for severe storms may occur north- east of the state. 

 The cold front should be clearing far southern Oklahoma pre-dawn Saturday with decreasing clouds Saturday afternoon and evening.  Temperatures Saturday morning will be in the lower 50s with daytime highs only in the mid 60s along with gusty northwest winds.   Mostly clear sky and very dry air will allow Sunday morning's temperatures to drop into the mid 40s and afternoon highs approaching the lower 70s.  

 The upper air pattern will be conducive to bringing another strong storm system across the central part of the nation sometime next week.  This will bring another round of rain and thunderstorm activity to the region as early as Tuesday or as late as Friday of next week.  I do think the upper air pattern will allow for an active weather pattern over the next two to three week. 

 The official highs in Tulsa yesterday was 82 recorded at 4:22pm.

 The normal daily average high is 78 and the low is 56.  

 Daily records include a high of 97 from 1910.  The record low is 38 recorded on this date in 1985, 1984, and 1958. 

 You'll find me on Facebook and Twitter. 

 I'll be discussing my statewide and regional forecasts on numerous Radio Oklahoma News network affiliates.  

 Thanks for reading for Tuesday morning weather discussion and blog.  

 Have a super great day! 

 Alan Crone