Tuesday Morning Update

Tuesday, March 5th 2013, 5:44 am
By: Alan Crone

We expect highs in the upper 40s today with sunny and windy conditions.  Our next major system arrives this weekend. 

If you're a first time visitor, this short blog-weather discussion focuses on weather impacts for Northeastern OK, portions of Southeastern OK, a small area of Southeastern Kansas, and a very small area of Northwestern Arkansas. This geographical area represents the "viewing area" of KOTV and The NewsOn6.  

The cold front is now well east of the state, but the tail end of the upper level trough is just now clearing the state.  This feature has produced a few showers overnight and some snow showers across extreme southeastern Kansas.  It's quickly moving eastward away from our area and we'll see decreasing clouds quickly with sunny and cool conditions today.  Highs will be in the upper 40s across northern Ok with some lower 50s likely across the southern third of the area.  Gusty northwest winds will continue in the 20 to 30 mph range for most of the day before becoming light in speed later tonight.  The cool and dry air mass will remain into Wednesday with morning lows in the mid-20s.  Highs Wednesday will move into the lower 50s with a surface ridge nearby.  Light north winds combined with the crisp air may allow Wednesday to be nominated for the " best weather day" of the week! 

Thursday and Friday will support mild temps with lower to mid-30s for morning lows and highs in the lower 60s.  The next major system will be approaching our area by the weekend with increasing rain and storm chances.

The EURO and GFS data are both suggesting a pacific coast system to drop southward by Friday.  The data differ on when the upper low will eject across the desert southwest with the GFS faster compared to the slower EURO.  GFS would bring a round of storms through the area Saturday into Sunday, while the EURO would do the same, but possibly delay the start until late Saturday night and could extend the chance for rain and storms into Sunday afternoon.  The GFS has been doing well lately, but I'll still side with the historically reliable EURO.  This means our best chance of storms will reside on Sunday.  

The exact synoptic set up will determine the severe or strong thunderstorm threat.  There's basically no way to adequately forecast this potential until we get closer to the weekend.   

The official high in Tulsa yesterday was a whopping 73!

The normal daily average high is 59 and the low is 37.

Daily records include a high of 88 from 1991 and a low of 5 from 1960.


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I'll also be discussing the weather with Dan Potter and the KRMG Morning News in Tulsa and on numerous Radio Oklahoma Network affiliates across the state.


Thank you for reading the Tuesday Morning Weather Blog and discussion.

Have a super great day!

Alan Crone