Warm, Humid Weekend. Storms Next Week.

The most recent QPF is posted on the right and is valid through the day Wednesday. Notice there continues to be a bulls eye over E OK and some locations may end up with some significant flooding issues before this system finally moves on east of us. Really cannot over emphasize the need to keep a close eye on the weather for early next week, particularly those who are planning on going camping or participating in other outdoor activities during Spring Break Week. Would not be surprised if there were some flash flooding problems during that time frame.

Between now and then, brisk southerly winds will keep us warm and humid right on through the weekend with overnight lows remaining in the 60s and daytime highs in the 70s to lower 80s, depending on sunshine. Mostly cloudy skies will be the general rule, but there will be some occasional breaks in the cloud deck. Also, with the abundant moisture available, an isolated shower or perhaps even some thunder may occur. However, the chances of any one location receiving measurable rainfall for tonight through Sunday night is only around the 20% level.

That will change by Monday as the main storm system aloft will be dropping into the Southern Rockies and eventually kicking out over the Plains. There continues to be some differences in the timing, strength, and location of this system and those issues probably will not be resolved until it gets over land and we have better data sampling of the upper level circulation. With that in mind, am using a rather broad brush and keeping a high chance of showers/storms through Tuesday and quite likely into Wednesday as well. If the system turns out to be more progressive, the rains will be ending by early Wednesday. If it stalls out more than now anticipated, may need to keep rain chances into the day Thursday as well. The most recent guidance has it being more progressive, so that is the approach I have taken for the time being, but that is certainly subject to change.

Once it gets past us, we expect to see a more seasonal temperature pattern and a more settled weather pattern for the latter part of Spring break week.

In the meantime, stay tuned and check back for updates.

Dick Faurot