Tuesday, February 7th 2012, 3:16 pm
A cool front will push on through the state today, but the cooler air is lagging behind by several hours so even though we already have a north wind, temperatures have still managed to make it into the 50s this afternoon. Stronger northerly winds for this evening and overnight will drop temperatures quickly into the 30s and bottoming out around freezing by Wednesday morning. As the colder air moves in the deeper moisture will be moving out so although there is still a chance for some wintry precipitation along the OK/KS state line tonight, it will be minimal. There will also be some occasional light rain or sprinkles for the rest of the afternoon and into the night time hours, but it will be minimal as well.
The clouds will hang tough through tonight and are not expected to be thinning out till Wednesday morning. Although we do expect a good bit of sunshine for the afternoon hours, temperatures will still be quite cool due to brisk northerly winds as a cool high pressure ridge builds over us. Look for daytime highs to only reach the low-mid 40s on Wednesday.
The sunshine will be short-lived as well with clouds expected to be returning Thursday and mostly cloudy skies through the day Friday. Another cool front will be pushing through the state by early Friday with northerly winds keeping temperatures on the cool side. Also, there appears to be enough support aloft to not only generate mostly cloudy skies for much of the day, but also a chance of light rain or showers for locations along and south of I-40.
Saturday looks to be partly cloudy and cool with morning lows in the 20s and daytime highs in the 40s and we should start off with some sunshine. NE winds during the day Saturday will become more easterly on Sunday and SE by Monday. At the same time, another disturbance aloft will be organizing in the Southern Rockies and moving eastward. The longer range guidance is offering a variety of solutions regarding this system. One solution has us cold and wet for Sunday into Monday and suggests the possibility of wintry precipitation. Another solution has us cool and wet for Sunday into Monday with just liquid precipitation. Given the way this winter has gone so far, will stick with the milder guidance and go with chances of rain starting Sunday and through the day Monday.
This is certainly subject to change so stay tuned and check back for updates.
Dick Faurot
February 7th, 2012
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