A Few Showers Possible

We're tracking an upper level storm system and a surface cold front that will move across the area today bringing some light precipitation chances to the region.  Some snow is likely across northwestern OK and there may be a slight chance of some light flurries later tonight across extreme northern Ok and southern Kansas.  We expect some light showers near the Tulsa area with about a 10% chance of some flurries late tonight around midnight near the Tulsa metro.  Some flurries will be possible near Bartlesville into southern Kansas but no issues are expected.

Temperatures today will move into the lower or mid-50s for most of Eastern OK before the colder air arrives this afternoon.  North winds will increase speeds later today and temperatures will begin to drop into the 40s across far northern OK before the colder air spreads southward later tonight.  Areas across northwestern OK will remain cold for the entire day with highs in the upper 30s.  Any measurable snow will more than likely be confined to an area from near Woodward to Alva from 9am to about 2pm.

The colder air will stick around for most of the week with highs tomorrow in the lower 40s.  Thursday temps will start in the lower 20s and move to near 50 before another cold front will arrive Friday morning knocking highs back down into the 40s for both Friday and Saturday.

The extended models continue their inconsistency's regarding run to run and have now suggested a Sunday into Monday system.  The EURO is much colder and would support some wintry precipitation for northern OK Sunday afternoon and evening, while the GFS would keep the thermal profile too warm for any winter precipitation.  We'll be keeping a close eye during this time period, but for now I have included a slight chance of precipitation for Sunday and a little better chance for Monday.  I will lower any temps for the Sunday period for this forecast cycle.