More Windy Today

Morning clouds will give way to some partly to mostly sunny conditions later today with highs in the upper 60s.  Gusty southwest winds from 15 to 25 mph will be likely.  A few isolated showers are possible across eastern OK.

Temperatures are very mild this morning compared to the previous few days.  This is a result of strong south winds yesterday and overnight bringing low level moisture back into the region.  Readings this morning will remain in the mid-50s with south winds around 10 to 25 mph.  A storm system will bring a weak front into the state this morning to our west but this boundary will slow down and remain west of the Tulsa area until later tonight.  A few showers will be possible later today across extreme eastern OK or southeastern OK, but not in the Tulsa metro.  

This boundary is expected to stall just south of the area tonight into tomorrow and a few showers or storms may be possible tomorrow near or south of the Tulsa area.  I will not include these pops on the map at this point, but some folks east or southeast of Tulsa may experience a storm tomorrow. 

The main forecast challenge and focus will be on the major upper level system that will arrive Friday into Saturday.  This will bring active weather to the southern and central plains including a chance of rain and storms a few that could be severe.  We still have some issue to resolve regarding the exact location of the surface features in relation to the main upper level low.  If the surface low remains southwest of our area, we're going to experience more showers and less storm activity.  There is a slight chance the surface low will track northeast from west Texas into Northwestern OK.  This would bring a quasi-warm front into the state Friday midmorning with some morning rain storms lifting northward into Kansas.  Friday afternoon into the evening hours there would be a chance of some strong to severe storms along the approaching boundary to the west.  Another scenario would be for a dry slot to work across the state after the morning showers and storms.  This would effectively end the precip-storm chances for Eastern Ok by mid-morning.  The confidence for this system remains high but the lack of confidence in the smaller scale features will not allow us to pin-down severe weather threats or timing issues at this point in the forecast cycle.