We're tracking storms this morning. Some may be severe.
After weeks of a hot and dry forecast, we're moving into an extended period of active weather with a chance of showers and storms including this morning and this afternoon.
We're also tracking the storms that moved across western and central OK overnight. These storms continue to move eastward into extreme eastern OK this morning. Some severe weather threats will remain for the short term. A storm complex is currently dropping southeast across central Kansas this morning and could drop down into northern OK this afternoon.
The front that moved across the region yesterday is located just south of our area this morning and may begin to ooze northward for a few hours. Just how far north the boundary moves is the big question this morning. Locations south of this boundary will see 100 degree temperatures while locations north of the boundary could stay in the upper 80s and lower 90s. We have sided with the boundary staying south of Tulsa; therefore we'll keep the temperatures in the upper 80s and lower 90s for highs across northern OK with triple digits possible across areas south of I-40. The morning storm complex will make the afternoon temperature forecast extremely difficult. Northeast winds will eventually prevail later this afternoon but could be from the south for the earlier part of the day if the boundary indeed moves northward. The confidence on the exact position of the boundary is on the low side.
Later tonight the front will be south of our area allowing for super nice temps Thursday with morning lows in the upper 60s north of Tulsa and lower 70s from Tulsa southward. Afternoon highs Thursday will be in the upper 80s and lower 90s across northern OK while southeastern sections will be in the mid 90s to near 100 along the Red River.
Friday the boundary will be sliding northward as a warm front allowing the temps to move back into the mid and upper 90s or possibly the 100 to 103 range near Tulsa before another front arrives Friday night into Saturday with near normal temperatures likely for the weekend. Another complex of storms will be possible Friday night into Saturday morning across portions of northern OK.
The early part of next week may also support the upper air flow from the northwest meaning another chance for a storm complex or two.
The mid level ridge may return by the middle of next week bringing a return of triple digit readings back to the Tulsa metro. We're not totally finished with the heat wave, but we'll get a break for the next 5 days.