Sunday, March 13th 2011, 10:52 pm
As promised, we are getting some badly needed rainfall as we go through the overnight hours and it is widespread. There is also some embedded thunder so some locations could end up with more than an inch of rain although the more widespread and more general rains should produce on the order of ½ inch or so. The system responsible for this will be moving on eastward during the day Monday taking most of the rain on east with it. A few lingering showers will be possible through the morning hours coming to an end by afternoon.
However, cloudy skies and brisk northerly winds will make for a chilly day with temperatures holding in the 40s for the most part all day long. Our skies should be clearing Monday night and with lighter winds, that could result in a light freeze or at least a frosty start to the day on Tuesday.
After that, a return to southerly winds and warmer temperatures also means a return to an elevated fire danger situation, particularly by Thursday which is when the combination of winds, warm temperatures, and low humidity levels will probably be at their worst. A slight chance of showers or storms by Friday or Saturday may help somewhat, but our next good chance of rain after tonight appears to be into the following week.
That means a pretty stable weather pattern for much of this Spring Break week along with much warmer than normal temperatures for the latter part of the week. Eventually this pattern will break down and things will become more unsettled, but again that does not appear likely until the following week.
In the meantime, stay tuned and check back for updates.
Dick Faurot
March 13th, 2011
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