Alan Crone's Weather Blog: Warm Temps Continue, Chance For Showers

Thursday, September 24th 2015, 4:07 am
By: Alan Crone

We’re continuing to track the moisture associated with the old tropical wave to our west and northwest this morning.    A few sprinkles or small showers may survive into the far western sections of our immediate area of concern, but the odds will remain extremely low as a mid-level ridge of high pressure should continue to exert influence over the eastern and southern third of the state.   Locations near Osage, Pawnee, Payne, and Kay Counties may see a few showers.   The Tulsa metro is expected to remain dry.   Our warm weather pattern will remain for the next few days with some minor fluctuation of temperature.   The overall pattern may not change significantly until the middle or end of next week.

We’ll also be watching a weak upper level system that will dive southward over the state Friday into Saturday, but the impacts should be minor and mainly to our west.

The upper air flow will change this weekend but will our air-mass will not undergo any major changes.   A mid-level trough is expected to develop across the Upper Midwest to the Missouri Valley and drop southward across the state Friday into Saturday.   At this point, model data continue to keep the eastern region dry with a few clouds and mild weather.   A few showers or sprinkles may be possible across western sections of the state.  This trough will drop southward Sunday and will be positioned across the south-central TX region by early next week.   The upper air flow may bring a system near the area late next week with a disturbance to our southeast and a cold front to the north.   These features should provide increasing rain and storm chances for the middle to end of next week but the data has already changed several times for this extended period.    Before this happens, our temperatures will remain rather warm for both morning lows and daytime highs early next week.

Temperatures this morning will remain in the mid to upper60s with partly cloudy conditions.   A few isolated showers may occur near the I-35 corridor region today or this afternoon.   Afternoon highs are expected to move back into the mid and upper 80s today across eastern OK with lower and mid-80s across the western part of the state.   Friday morning lows will drop into the lower 60s with daytime highs in the mid to upper 80s with mostly to partly sunny conditions and northeast winds at 10 mph.

Friday night football games appear mild with games starting the lower 80s and ending in the upper to mid-70s.   Again, a few spotty showers or sprinkles may be possible across the western third of the state Friday and Friday night.

The forecast for the weekend will keep lows near 60 in Tulsa with upper 50s in the rural regions.   Daytime highs will move into the 84 to 86 range.   Saturday our wind will be from the east or northeast at 10 mph before backing from the south to southeast by the Sunday afternoon.  

Monday and Tuesday features lows in the mid-60s and highs in the upper 80s.   We may see increasing showers or storms by the end of next week with slightly cooler air next weekend.

Thanks for reading the Thursday morning weather discussion and blog.

Have a super great day!

Alan Crone