Welcome To June

Monday, June 1st 2015, 4:15 am

By: Alan Crone

We're trying to dry out and warm up over the next few days, but muggy conditions will also increase by the middle to the end of the week.   While our precipitation chances will remain low this week, the chance is not zero.    A weak disturbance may be close enough to the area today for a few showers across the I-35 corridor.   Tuesday night into Wednesday morning, we may see a few showers or storms along and west of the I-35 corridor region. The chances will remain near or less than 10% for the next few days.   Our probabilities will increase some as we move closer to the weekend and a front attempts to move southward near the state.

Temperatures will remain mild this morning with many locations in the mid-50s.   We could see some patchy fog in a few spots, but this chance appears low. Daytime highs will move into the mid and upper 70s along with northeast to east winds and partly sunny conditions.   Our morning lows will move into the mid-60s for the remainder of the week with afternoon highs moving into the lower to mid-80s Tuesday and Wednesday with mid to upper 80s for the end of the week.   South winds will increase low level moisture across the area in the form of increasing dew point temperatures.   Combined with the lush green vegetation, evapo-transpiration rates will remain high.   Our heat index values will move into the lower 90s by the end of this week.

The upper air flow will support a mid-level trough cut-off from the flow to our east. The upper air flow will transition to a northwest flow pattern near the state and could remain this way (with some periodic fluctuation) for the next two weeks.   This will eventually increase our rain and storm chances with nocturnal storm complexes moving from the northwest to the southeast.   I do anticipate an increase of storm activity next week.

Thanks for reading the Monday morning weather discussion and blog.

Have a super great day!

Alan Crone