Friday, August 16th 2013, 4:57 am
The pattern looks good for the rest of the day and more so this weekend after the late night and early morning storm complex took a run at the area. Our highs will range the lower to mid-80s today along with east to northeast winds. The weekend will feature morning lows in the lower to mid-60s and afternoon highs in the mid to upper 80s. A super great weather weekend is approaching compared to normal August standards.
The storm complex brushed the western portion and northern portions of the area last night. Most available data yesterday supported most of the storms to remain west of the region, but the upper air flow from the northwest to southeast can allow for southeastward expansion of these types of complexes. And while the bulk of the activity did remain west, we experienced a round of storms last night but no severe thunderstorm warnings or watches were issued for our region.
This morning through early afternoon a short wave aloft will be exiting the region and some morning clouds will give way to afternoon sunshine later in the midday to afternoon time period. The models were absolutely horrible with initializing and placement of last night's MCS. This morning the models are indicating another round of showers developing in association with the exiting short wave. This appears unlikely due to subsidence behind the early morning MCS, but I'll more than likely carry a slight pop to account for any precip that may develop later today.
This evening looks great if you're heading out on the town or maybe to an area per-season football scrimmage at your local high school. Temps from 7pm to 10pm tonight will be in the 70s.
Northeastern OK will remain under the influence of a cool surface ridge of high pressure centered to our northeast for the first part of the weekend. This should keep our surface air flow from the northeast until late Sunday afternoon and this means a mild and nice weekend. Slightly drier surface air will reside across our area for the weekend.
The pattern will feature a slowly expanding mid-level ridge currently west of our area early next week but the really hot stuff will remain well west of the region. Our highs will be closer to the seasonal average of the lower 90s with morning lows moving back into the lower 70s. Low level humidity values may also increase by early next week.
The official high in Tulsa yesterday was 83 recorded at 3:19pm.
The normal average high is 94 and the low is 72.
Records include a high of 109 from 1956 and 1923. The low is 57 from 1992.
Precip for the year is now at 25.91 which is -2.55 compared to normal precip for the year to date.
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I'll also be discussing the forecast on numerous Radio Oklahoma News Network affiliates across the state this morning through the noon hour.
Thanks for reading the Friday Morning weather Discussion and blog.
Have a super great day.
Alan Crone
KOTV
August 16th, 2013
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