Pattern Bringing Storm Chances

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TULSA, Okla. - Grab the umbrella as you head out the door on Tuesday, shower chances return to Green Country.

Here are the details from News On 6 Meteorologist Alan Crone:

A small disturbance associated with some scattered shower activity is moving eastward across northwestern Oklahoma this morning and may trigger some scattered showers and storms later in the day as it nears the central sections of the state. Most of the activity should remain west or southwest of our immediate areas but a few showers will be nearby this afternoon. Severe weather is not anticipated. Areas across the high plains of Texas into part of north Texas supports additional storms later today that may grow to severe levels well to our west. Our highest chance during the short term for showers and storms arrives Wednesday when some leftovers from the west float eastward and will combine with some weak forcing. The mean upper-level air flow remains rather weak during this period. This means the threat of severe weather will remain low Wednesday. Heavy downpours with gusty winds will again be a possibility for areas that do receive scattered storms tomorrow.

The upper air flow remains from the northwest today and tomorrow. A mid-level low will drop southward from the Upper Midwest and arrive across the southeastern U.S. soon while a mid-level ridge nudges across part of Eastern OK into the central plains. Another trough drops across the western U.S. by the end of the week as the flow attempt to arrive from the west or even southwest. The mid-level ridge will act to block most of the stronger systems from the state, but a few scattered storms will remain possible this weekend into Memorial Day. Some data suggest the upper flow will quickly return from the northwest early next week. This is normal for late May and early June. This would support increasing potential for storm complexes to develop to our northwest and move southeast into the area. But confidence remains low at this point. Additional changes will be possible later this weekend into early next week. Stay tuned. 

Highs will be near the lower 80s for the next few days. Morning lows will be in the lower 60s. Winds will remain mostly light in the near-term, but will increase speeds this weekend from the southeast at 10 to 20 mph.

Thanks for reading the Tuesday morning weather discussion and blog.

Have a super great day!

Alan Crone

KOTV